Saturday, January 19, 2013

Why Group Selection Does Not Work


Photo: Large flock of European Starlings (a bird)




Group selection is the hypothesis that organisms have the traits they do (including altruistic traits) because selection has produced traits that assure that species survive. Although this is intuitively an OK idea, it turns out that it doesn't work.

Have you ever noticed large "roosts" of birds in trees around town. Roosting birds gather by the hundreds or thousands in one, or a few, trees (maybe you have mistakenly parked you car underneath a roost and suffered the consequences). Biologists are interested in understanding the causes of roosting behavior. People who support the group selection hypothesis have proposed that the reason that these birds are roosting is that it gives them an opportunity to examine how large their population is. Becasue the birds do not want to overpopulate their environment, because overpopulation could lead to a loss of all of the food so that the entire species dies, birds want to know how many other birds are there so they know how much to reproduce. If birds see that the roosts are large then they know that the population is large so they decide to produce only a few babies. However, if the birds see that the roost is small then they are decide to produce many babies. Thus, the population never gets so large that they eat up all of the food.

Unfortunately, the math required for group selection just doesn't work out. Imagine a species of birds that mated monogamously for life. If the parents wanted to keep population sizes constant than their best strategy would be to produce two offspring during their life so that they make just enough kids to replace themselves. For this to happen all females would have a gene that said "make two babies". Imagine that a mutation occurs that says "make three babies". This mutation would quickly spread througout the population so that eventually all females would produce babies.  If mutations that said produce 4 or more babies occurred then these mutations would also spread. It is thus possible to imagine that each female would make so many babies that the population would indeed get large enough to consume all of the food which would cause the population to go extinct.  Thus, the math of natural selection does not allow organisms to artificially reduce their fitness for the "good of the species".

The observation that led group selectionist to thinking that roosting and reproduction could be explained by group selection was that females produced fewer eggs when more individuals were at the roost than when fewer individuals were at the roost. Can you think of another hypothesis to explain this observation?

So why do birds form roosts? There are at least two hypotheses. First, some scientists propose that organisms roost because they are safer from predators when living in large groups. Others think that organisms form roosts because they can benefit from information gained by living with lots of other individuals. For example, if you flew to the south to look for food and didn't find much and you noticed that those birds returning to the roost from the north looked well fed, then you might head out to the north the next day.

Expected Learning Outcome

By the end of this course a fully engaged student should be able to

- discuss why the classic notion of group selection does not work in nature

1 comment:

  1. I wanted to discuss the question posed in the second to last paragraph in this blog: is there another hypothesis that predicts why female birds produce less eggs in large roosts as apposed to producing a lot of eggs in smaller roosts? I cannot really think of one that may explain this. All I can come up with is perhaps in smaller populations male birds tend to reproduce with many of the same females of a single roost causing the females to lay a lot of eggs, while in larger roosts there is less of a chance for females to mate with multiple males because the population is so large. Does this make sense? In the circumstance that I have stated, the reason for the varying number of eggs laid does not relate to the need to conserve available food but rather the chance of multiple partners. Essentially, the same number of eggs would be produced by all the females but the number produced per female would vary.

    Do you have another explanation?

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